Who will win the Democratic Party nomination for the US presidential election? (update)

FiveThirtyEight[1] and PredictWise[2] now have HRC pulling away from Bernie in Nevada[1], though Pollster still has them in a dead heat[3]. Given HRC’s huge advantage in South Carolina[4] this gives her a real chance of taking both states decisively before Super Tuesday and putting the Sanders campaign in a bit of trouble. Small improvement in the odds of an HRC win in the Democratic primary.

  • 85% Hillary Clinton
  • 15% Bernie Sanders

[1] http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/nevada-democratic/
[2] http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-primaries
[3] http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-nevada-democratic-presidential-caucus
[4] http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/south-carolina-democratic/


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s