Who will win the Democratic Party nomination for the US presidential election? (update)

HRC’s apparently decisive victory in the Nevada primary[1], coupled with what is likely to be an overwhelming victory in South Carolina[2], make an upset by Sanders very unlikely. HRC has strong leads in Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia. Given the well known difficulties with the use of polls to predict primary results, all of this is subject to revision. But right now, it’s very much HRC’s to lose.

  • 91% Hillary Clinton
  • 9% Bernie Sanders

[1] http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/21/us/politics/nevada-caucus.html
[2] http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/south-carolina-democratic/

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