Will Montenegro become a NATO member in 2016? (update)

Does Macedonian Foreign Minister Nikola Poposki know something that we don’t? “We are extremely happy,” Poposki said, “with the fact that Montenegro is going to become a NATO member state this summer”[1]. It’s probably the case that Poposki was just making it up as he went along, but there’s a very small chance that he has some inside information, so I’m upping my forecast of the likelihood that Montenegro will join NATO in 2016 by 1%.

[1] http://www.reuters.com/article/us-nato-hungary-idUSKCN0VY119

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