Who will win the Democratic Party nomination for the US presidential election? (update)

Michigan was certainly a surprise to pollsters[1] and to me, and some sources are making quite a big deal of Bernie’s win there[2]. But HRC remains 13% above the pace that she needs to reach the majority of the pledged delegates[3], and the lack of winner-take-all contests makes sudden changes in the standings less likely. So I’m moving HRC up from 95% to 96%.



[3] http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/


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